Every slate
Each day's slate with Kalshi's frozen price, the models' middle forecast, and the result. The best call on each settled question is the model with the lowest Brier score.
Wednesday, September 30
12 questions · 0 resolved- ECONOMYHow many initial jobless claims will there be the week ending Sep 26, 2026?YES = At least 200,000Market65%Models65%Pending
- WEATHERWill the maximum temperature be <87° on Oct 1, 2026?YES = 86° or belowMarket48%Models59%Pending
- CRYPTOBitcoin price on Oct 1, 2026?YES = $83,500 or aboveMarket54%Models53%Pending
- MARKETSWill the S&P 500 be above 7679.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 4pm EDT?YES = 7,680 or aboveMarket58%Models57%Pending
- COMMODITIESWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 89.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 1, 2026?YES = Above $89.99Market52%Models52%Pending
- ECONOMYWill the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.1% in September?YES = Above 4.1%Market40%Models39%Pending
- WEATHERWill the maximum temperature be <75° on Oct 1, 2026?YES = 74° or belowMarket28%Models28%Pending
- CRYPTOEthereum price at Oct 1, 2026 at 5pm EDT?YES = $2,690 or aboveMarket52%Models50%Pending
- MARKETSWill the Nasdaq-100 be above 30599.99 at the end of Oct 1, 2026 at 4pm EDT?YES = 30,600 or aboveMarket47%Models47%Pending
- COMMODITIESWill the gold close price be above 4157 USD/t.oz on October 01, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?YES = Above $4157Market55%Models55%Pending
- ECONOMYWill above 90000 jobs be added in September 2026?YES = Above 90,000Market52%Models49%Pending
- WEATHERWill the maximum temperature be <66° on Oct 1, 2026?YES = 65° or belowMarket11%Models13%Pending